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Aral vs Shortan Guzor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Own Goal
37' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
Penalty Missed
47' Event
Kalmagambetov R.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Aral and Shortan Guzor finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aral
15%
Draws
40%
Shortan Guzor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Shortan Guzor haven't matched Aral's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aral taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Shortan Guzor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Shortan Guzor
3:1
Jun 18, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Shortan Guzor vs Aral
4:1
Nov 5, 2024 Pro Liga
Aral vs Shortan Guzor
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Aral
4:0
Jun 13, 2024 Pro Liga
Aral vs Shortan Guzor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmagambetov R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodirov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 36 / 100
Shortan Guzor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Shortan Guzor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aral scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Shortan Guzor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Aral remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Shortan Guzor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
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Shortan Guzor

(Away)
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
22 Aug
FarDU
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)