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Arapongas vs SE Juventude

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Arapongas Logo

Arapongas

2 - 0
FT
SE Juventude Logo

SE Juventude

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arapongas in this Série D 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arapongas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arapongas
35%
Draws
32%
SE Juventude
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • SE Juventude haven't matched Arapongas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arapongas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 20%
SE Juventude Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arapongas SE Juventude
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.73 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2012 Serie D
Arapongas vs SE Juventude
2:0
Jul 22, 2012 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Arapongas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arapongas 36 / 100
SE Juventude 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arapongas SE Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arapongas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

SE Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Arapongas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Arapongas VS SE Juventude
3 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arapongas

(Home)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

SE Juventude

(Away)
31 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
SE Juventude
23 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 0
Amazonas
17 Jul
Fluminense-PI
1 : 2
SE Juventude
09 Jul
SE Juventude
2 : 2
Tuna Luso
02 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 1 2 20:16 16
2 Vilhena 8 5 0 3 17:10 15
3 Acreano 8 4 1 3 19:15 13
4 Penarol 8 3 0 5 16:16 9
5 Nautico FC 8 2 0 6 9:24 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 8 8 0 0 25:2 24
2 Mixto 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial PI 8 2 2 4 6:13 8
4 Santos AP 8 1 4 3 9:16 7
5 Araguaina 8 0 3 5 4:17 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 8 4 3 1 12:7 15
2 Campinense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
3 Horizonte 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Ypiranga 8 2 2 4 13:15 8
5 Petrolina 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
2 Sousa 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Feirense 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
4 Itabaiana 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
5 Vitoria da Conquista 8 1 1 6 7:13 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 4 3 1 15:9 15
2 Ceilandia 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 CENE 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
4 Aparecidense 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Sobradinho 8 0 3 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 8 4 4 0 13:4 16
2 Nacional MG 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Aracruz 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
4 Volta Redonda 8 2 2 4 5:6 8
5 Guarani-MG 8 1 3 4 3:11 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 8 5 3 0 14:4 18
2 Mogi Mirim 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
3 Ceramica AC 8 3 2 3 10:7 11
4 Marilia 8 1 4 3 7:15 7
5 Concordia 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Metropolitano 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
2 SE Juventude 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Arapongas 8 2 4 2 6:6 10
4 Brasil de Pelotas 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
5 Mirassol 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)