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Ararat-Armenia vs Horsholm-Usserod

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ararat-Armenia and Horsholm-Usserod finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ararat-Armenia
28%
Draws
22%
Horsholm-Usserod
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ararat-Armenia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ararat-Armenia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia Horsholm-Usserod
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat-Armenia vs Horsholm-Usserod
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 49 / 100
Horsholm-Usserod 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia Horsholm-Usserod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsholm-Usserod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ararat-Armenia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Ararat-Armenia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Horsholm-Usserod
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia

(Home)
28 Jul
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
21 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
14 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
07 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Riga FC
27 Jun
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Vojvodina
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Horsholm-Usserod

(Away)
25 Jul
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 3
Roskilde
21 Jul
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
Ringsted
2 : 2
Horsholm-Usserod
11 Jul
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 1
Ishoj IF
13 Jun
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 4
Naesby
Page 1 of 6