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Aravaca CF vs Leganes B

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 game between Aravaca CF and Leganes B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aravaca CF
20%
Draws
46%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leganes B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aravaca CF a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 17%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aravaca CF Leganes B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Aravaca CF
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Leganes B
1:0
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Aravaca CF
5:0
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Leganes B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aravaca CF 36 / 100
Leganes B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aravaca CF Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Leganes B conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aravaca CF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leganes B
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aravaca CF

(Home)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6

Leganes B

(Away)
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
12 Aug
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 3
Leganes B
08 Aug
Illescas
1 : 2
Leganes B
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Leganes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)