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Araxa vs Pirapora

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Araxa Logo

Araxa

1 - 0
FT
Pirapora Logo

Pirapora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Araxa and Pirapora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Araxa
20%
Draws
30%
Pirapora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirapora haven't matched Araxa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Araxa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Pirapora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Pirapora
Matches Played 19 8
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.05 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Pirapora
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pirapora vs Araxa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 85 / 100
Pirapora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Pirapora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirapora let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Attacking prowess: Araxa scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Araxa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Pirapora has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Pirapora
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
Page 1 of 4

Pirapora

(Away)
21 Oct
Mamore
4 : 0
Pirapora
14 Oct
Pirapora
1 : 6
Paracatu
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
01 Oct
Pirapora
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
16 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Pirapora
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)