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Arbroath vs Brechin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Morrison S.
14' Event
Flynn R.
21' Event
O'Brien T.

AI Match Summary

Arbroath in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arbroath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arbroath
6%
Draws
4%
Brechin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brechin have won more games recently than Arbroath.
  • Arbroath are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 19%
Brechin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Brechin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Brechin
4:1
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Brechin vs Arbroath
1:1
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Brechin vs Arbroath
1:2
Apr 13, 2019 League One
Brechin vs Arbroath
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 League One
Arbroath vs Brechin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flynn R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 85 / 100
Brechin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Brechin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arbroath scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Brechin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arbroath stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Brechin
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%