Sport Picks

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Arbroath vs Brechin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Morrison S.
14' Event
Flynn R.
21' Event
O'Brien T.

AI Match Summary

Arbroath in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arbroath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arbroath
15%
Draws
54%
Brechin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Brechin have won more games recently than Arbroath.
  • Brechin are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 12%
Brechin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Brechin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Brechin
4:1
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Brechin vs Arbroath
1:1
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Brechin vs Arbroath
1:2
Apr 13, 2019 League One
Brechin vs Arbroath
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 League One
Arbroath vs Brechin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flynn R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 14 / 100
Brechin 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Brechin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brechin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arbroath has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arbroath's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Brechin
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
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Brechin

(Away)
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
22 Aug
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Brechin
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