Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arconatese vs Calcio Derthona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calcio Derthona in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcio Derthona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arconatese
35%
Draws
46%
Calcio Derthona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calcio Derthona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arconatese average 0.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Calcio Derthona's 0.63.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Calcio Derthona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Calcio Derthona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Arconatese vs Calcio Derthona
0:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs Arconatese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 28 / 100
Calcio Derthona 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Calcio Derthona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Derthona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calcio Derthona has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arconatese scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Arconatese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
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Calcio Derthona

(Away)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)