Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

Ards Rangers

2 - 0

Lurgan Town Boys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ards Rangers in this Irish Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ards Rangers

39%

Draws

30%

Lurgan Town Boys

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ards Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Lurgan Town Boys.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Ards Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ards Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%

Ards Rangers Clean Sheet 11%

Lurgan Town Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ards Rangers	Lurgan Town Boys
Matches Played	29	14
Wins	14	5
Draws	1	0
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	2.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.88	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Irish Cup

Ards Rangers vs Lurgan Town Boys

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards Rangers 30 / 100

Lurgan Town Boys 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ards Rangers Lurgan Town Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ards Rangers scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Lurgan Town Boys has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Lurgan Town Boys registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ards Rangers VS Lurgan Town Boys

2.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards Rangers

(Home)

15 Jul

Ards Rangers

1 : 1

Ballymacash

28 Jun

Ards Rangers

1 : 2

Bangor FC

20 Jul

Ards Rangers

0 : 4

Ards

08 Jan

Ballinamallard

2 : 0

Ards Rangers

17 Aug

Wakehurst

3 : 1

Ards Rangers

Page 1 of 6

Lurgan Town Boys

(Away)

23 Nov

Lurgan Town Boys

0 : 1

Dollingstown

28 Sept

Lurgan Town Boys

0 : 4

St. James' Swifts

17 Aug

Iveagh Utd

1 : 3

Lurgan Town Boys

03 Nov

Lurgan Town Boys

1 : 2

Dunloy

29 Sept

Lurgan Town Boys

4 : 1

Desertmartin

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Dungannon-

TBD-

Dergview-

Richhill-

TBD-

Nortel-

St. Marys-

TBD-

Donegal1

Oxford Stars3

Glebe4

Iveagh Utd0

Portaferry Rovers2

Silverwood3

Rathfriland Rangers4

Moyola3

Craigavon City1

Grove6

Sport & Leisure3

Ballynahinch Olympic2

Markethill4

St. Patricks Young5

Lurgan Town Boys2

Laurelvale1

TBD-

Ards Rangers-

Abbey Villa5

Holywood0

Saintfield0

Dungiven1

Newbuildings-

TBD-

Dollingstown-

Crewe5

Chimney0

TBD-

Ardglass-

Crumlin United4

Shankill0

TBD-

Ballymoney-

Sofia Farmer2

Lower Maze1

Banbridge0

Limavady2

Donard-

TBD-

Tullyvallen Rangers0

Windmill5

TBD-

Knockbreda-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Crusaders-

TBD-

Ards-

Lisburn Distillery4

Rosario Youth0

Dromore Amateurs0

Queens University14

Ballynure Old Boys4

Foundry1

TBD-

Lisburn Rangers-

Comber Rec4

Brantwood3

Ballywalter Recreation1

Ardstraw2

Mossley FC-

TBD-

St Luke's-

TBD-

PSNI-

Institute-

TBD-

Ballyclare-

Glentoran-

TBD-

Linfield-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Carrick Rangers-

Annagh-

TBD-

Shorts-

TBD-

Wellington Rec0

Dunloy3

Strabane Athletic-

TBD-

Dundonald2

East Belfast5

Wakehurst-

TBD-

Larne Technical Old Boys-

Desertmartin2

Newcastle0

TBD-

Tobermore-

Harland & Wolff-

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Cliftonville-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portadown-

TBD-

Larne-

Fivemiletown-

Killymoon-

Hanover2

Sirocco3

Newry City7

Oxford Sunnyside0

Bangor FC2

Newington FC3

Downshire Y.M.4

Rathfern Rangers0

Dungannon Rovers0

U. U. Jordanstown4

Barn-

TBD-

Dundela-

TBD-

Loughgall-

Armagh-

TBD-

Drumaness-

TBD-

Bloomfield3

Seapatrick4

Camlough-

TBD-

Dromara-

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys-

Bangor Amateurs FC-

TBD-

Ballynahinch United-

Crumlin Star-

TBD-

Immaculata1

Trojans3

Portstewart-

TBD-

Magherafelt1

Moneyslane FC6

Islandmagee4

Ballymacash1

TBD-

Killyleagh Youth-

Valley Rangers3

Newtowne FC1

TBD-

Seagoe-

Coagh Utd2

Malachians1

Banbridge Rangers4

Derriaghy5

TBD-

Glenavon-

1/128-finals

Dungannon-

TBD-

Dergview-

Richhill-

Nortel-

St. Marys4

Oxford Stars5

Glebe3

Silverwood2

Rathfriland Rangers4

Grove5

Sport & Leisure2

St. Patricks Young1

Lurgan Town Boys0

Ards Rangers2

Abbey Villa4

Dungiven1

Newbuildings2

Dollingstown4

Crewe5

Ardglass1

Crumlin United2

Ballymoney3

Sofia Farmer2

Limavady0

Donard-

Windmill-

TBD-

Knockbreda-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Crusaders-

TBD-

Ards-

Lisburn Distillery1

Queens University0

Ballynure Old Boys2

Lisburn Rangers4

Comber Rec5

Ardstraw2

Mossley FC1

St Luke's4

TBD-

PSNI-

Institute-

TBD-

Ballyclare-

Glentoran-

TBD-

Linfield-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Carrick Rangers-

Annagh-

TBD-

Shorts8

Dunloy0

Strabane Athletic4

East Belfast5

Wakehurst2

Larne Technical Old Boys1

Desertmartin0

Tobermore6

Harland & Wolff-

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Cliftonville-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portadown-

TBD-

Larne-

Fivemiletown4

Sirocco1

Newry City1

Newington FC3

Downshire Y.M.3

U. U. Jordanstown2

Barn1

Dundela2

TBD-

Loughgall-

Armagh-

TBD-

Drumaness2

Seapatrick0

Camlough0

Dromara5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys2

Ballynahinch United1

Crumlin Star1

Trojans2

Portstewart2

Moneyslane FC0

Islandmagee5

Killyleagh Youth3

Valley Rangers7

Seagoe0

Coagh Utd1

Derriaghy2

TBD-

Glenavon-

1/64-finals

Dungannon-

TBD-

Dergview-

Richhill1

Oxford Stars0

Glebe0

Grove1

Sport & Leisure3

Ards Rangers2

Abbey Villa2

Dollingstown3

Crewe3

Ballymoney1

Sofia Farmer0

Windmill2

TBD-

Knockbreda-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Crusaders-

TBD-

Ards-

Lisburn Distillery1

Lisburn Rangers0

Comber Rec2

St Luke's3

TBD-

PSNI-

Institute-

TBD-

Ballyclare-

Glentoran-

TBD-

Linfield-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Carrick Rangers-

Annagh-

TBD-

Shorts2

East Belfast0

Wakehurst1

Tobermore2

Harland & Wolff-

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Cliftonville-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portadown-

TBD-

Larne-

Fivemiletown5

Newington FC4

Downshire Y.M.2

Dundela3

TBD-

Loughgall-

Armagh-

TBD-

Drumaness2

Dromara1

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys1

Trojans2

Portstewart5

Killyleagh Youth0

Valley Rangers0

Derriaghy2

TBD-

Glenavon-

1/32-finals

Dungannon-

TBD-

Dergview-

Richhill6

Grove2

Sport & Leisure1

Dollingstown3

Crewe4

Windmill3

TBD-

Knockbreda-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Crusaders-

TBD-

Ards-

Lisburn Distillery3

St Luke's0

TBD-

PSNI-

Institute-

TBD-

Ballyclare-

Glentoran-

TBD-

Linfield-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Carrick Rangers-

Annagh-

TBD-

Shorts0

Tobermore6

Harland & Wolff-

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Cliftonville-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portadown-

TBD-

Larne-

Fivemiletown4

Dundela3

TBD-

Loughgall-

Armagh-

TBD-

Drumaness1

Trojans3

Portstewart4

Derriaghy2

TBD-

Glenavon-

1/16-finals

Dungannon3

Dergview0

Richhill1

Dollingstown4

Crewe2

Knockbreda1

Ballinamallard0

Warrenpoint1

Crusaders2

Ards0

Lisburn Distillery1

PSNI2

Institute4

Ballyclare2

Glentoran1

Linfield2

Coleraine5

Carrick Rangers1

Annagh0

Tobermore2

Harland & Wolff1

Lurgan Celtic0

Cliftonville1

Ballymena2

Portadown2

Larne1

Fivemiletown0

Loughgall3

Armagh2

Trojans1

Portstewart1

Glenavon4

1/8-finals

Dungannon4

Dollingstown1

Crewe0

Warrenpoint5

Crusaders2

PSNI0

Institute0

Linfield2

Coleraine1

Tobermore0

Harland & Wolff1

Ballymena3

Portadown2

Loughgall1

Armagh0

Glenavon2

Quarter-finals

Dungannon2

Warrenpoint1

Crusaders0

Linfield2

Coleraine4

Ballymena0

Portadown0

Glenavon5

Semi-finals

Dungannon0

Linfield1

Coleraine2

Glenavon1

Final

Linfield3

Coleraine0