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Ards vs Rathfriland Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Ards Logo

Ards

1 - 0
FT
Rathfriland Rangers Logo

Rathfriland Rangers

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ards in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ards
15%
Draws
36%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ards have won more games recently than Rathfriland Rangers.
  • Model gives Ards a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ards Clean Sheet 20%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Rathfriland Rangers
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 85 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Rathfriland Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathfriland Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ards scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Rathfriland Rangers has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ards VS Rathfriland Rangers
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
Page 1 of 6

Rathfriland Rangers

(Away)
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 9 6 2 1 24:11 20
2 Annagh 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Glenavon 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
4 Queens University 9 5 1 3 18:7 16
5 Harland & Wolff 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
6 Newry City 9 4 3 2 15:16 15
7 Warrenpoint 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Ballinamallard 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 18:18 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
12 Moyola 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 12:18 10
14 Strabane Athletic 9 2 2 5 10:19 8
15 Armagh 9 0 4 5 8:16 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 9 1 0 8 6:21 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)