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Arema FC vs Persebaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arema FC host Persebaya in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Persebaya have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Arema FC have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Arema FC have won 0 to Persebaya's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Persebaya. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Arema FC
15%
Draws
34%
Persebaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Persebaya have won more games recently than Arema FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 13%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC Persebaya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 President Cup
Persebaya vs Arema FC
1:0
Apr 28, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Persebaya
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Arema FC
1:1
Apr 28, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Persebaya
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs Arema FC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 31 / 100
Persebaya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC Persebaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arema FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Persebaya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Persebaya conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS Persebaya
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arema FC

(Home)
06 Nov
Madura United
3 : 0
Arema FC
03 Nov
RANS Nusantara
0 : 4
Arema FC
31 Oct
Arema FC
1 : 3
Bali United
25 Oct
Arema FC
4 : 0
Dewa United
21 Oct
Persija Jakarta
5 : 1
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

Persebaya

(Away)
07 Nov
Persija Jakarta
1 : 0
Persebaya
03 Nov
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 2
Persebaya
30 Oct
Persebaya
1 : 1
Persijap Jepara
26 Oct
Persebaya
3 : 1
Madura United
22 Oct
PSM Makassar
1 : 0
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 9 7 0 2 19:8 21
2 Dewa United 9 6 2 1 16:12 20
3 Bali United 9 6 1 2 26:9 19
4 Madura United 9 6 1 2 16:10 19
5 Persib Bandung 9 5 1 3 16:10 16
6 Persita 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
7 Java United 9 4 3 2 14:11 13
8 Persebaya 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
9 FC Bhayangkara 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
10 Garudayaksa 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
11 Borneo 8 3 1 4 8:10 10
12 PSM Makassar 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
13 Persik Kediri 9 3 1 5 9:14 10
14 Arema FC 9 2 3 4 17:20 9
15 Isenmulang Kalteng 9 2 2 5 4:16 6
16 PSS Sleman 9 1 2 6 12:17 5
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
18 Persijap Jepara 9 0 2 7 5:18 2
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