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Arendal vs Jerv

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arendal and Jerv finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arendal
44%
Draws
20%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Jerv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Arendal Clean Sheet 11%
Jerv Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Jerv
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Jerv
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Arendal vs Jerv
3:3
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Jerv
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup
Arendal vs Jerv
3:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Arendal
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 35 / 100
Jerv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Jerv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jerv conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Arendal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Arendal scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Jerv
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%