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Arendal vs Jerv

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arendal and Jerv finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arendal
15%
Draws
49%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Jerv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%
Jerv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Jerv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.93 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Jerv
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Arendal vs Jerv
3:3
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Jerv
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup
Arendal vs Jerv
3:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Arendal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 34 / 100
Jerv 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Arendal's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jerv conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Arendal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Jerv
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
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Jerv

(Away)
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
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