Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arendal vs Vidar

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Norac stadion, Arendal
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Victorio M.
44'
van der Veen M.
56' Event
Nundal J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Arendal and Vidar finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Arendal
15%
Draws
8%
Vidar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Arendal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arendal a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arendal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Arendal Clean Sheet 18%
Vidar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Vidar
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Vidar vs Arendal
1:3
Jul 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Vidar
4:0
Oct 19, 2019 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Vidar
1:0
May 16, 2019 Division 2 - Group 1
Vidar vs Arendal
0:1
Sep 15, 2018 Division 2 - Group 2
Arendal vs Vidar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arendal Compare

Top Goalscorer Nundal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suggelia H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Vidar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 85 / 100
Vidar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Vidar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vidar conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Arendal scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Arendal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Vidar
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
Page 1 of 6

Vidar

(Away)
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Traeff
2 : 2
Vidar
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 19 14 3 2 41:18 45
2 Sotra 19 11 3 5 41:17 36
3 Brattvag 19 11 3 5 38:23 36
4 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
5 Mjondalen 19 11 2 6 33:26 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 19 9 4 6 28:22 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 19 5 4 10 29:42 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 19 2 1 16 20:44 7
14 Vidar 19 1 4 14 17:53 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)