Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arezzo vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Ionita A.
29'
Anghele L.
45' Event
Rispoli F.
Assist: Molina S.

AI Match Summary

Sudtirol in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sudtirol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Arezzo
20%
Draws
46%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arezzo have won more games recently than Sudtirol.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Sudtirol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sudtirol have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 11%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie B
Arezzo vs Sudtirol
1:4
Mar 28, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Sudtirol vs Arezzo
1:0
Dec 6, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Sudtirol
0:4
May 10, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Arezzo vs Sudtirol
1:3
Jan 6, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Sudtirol vs Arezzo
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancuso L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rispoli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 10 / 100
Sudtirol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Sudtirol has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Arezzo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Sudtirol
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

Sudtirol

(Away)
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)