Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arezzo vs Ternana

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ferrante A.
37'
Vallocchia A.
45' Event
Cianci P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Arezzo and Ternana finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Arezzo
30%
Draws
29%
Ternana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arezzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ternana haven't matched Arezzo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arezzo a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 68%
Ternana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Ternana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Ternana
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Arezzo
1:1
Feb 10, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Arezzo
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Ternana
1:2
May 17, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Arezzo vs Ternana
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cianci P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrante A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dubickas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 50 / 100
Ternana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Ternana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arezzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Ternana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Arezzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Ternana
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
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Ternana

(Away)
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3
Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2
Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2
Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Ternana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)