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Arezzo W vs Cesena W

Italy Italy

Serie B Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Serie B Women 2025/2026 game between Arezzo W and Cesena W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesena W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Arezzo W
15%
Draws
68%
Cesena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Cesena W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Cesena W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • History favors Cesena W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Arezzo W Clean Sheet 10%
Cesena W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo W Cesena W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Cesena W vs Arezzo W
6:1
Feb 8, 2026 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs Cesena W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs Arezzo W
4:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs Cesena W
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs Arezzo W
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo W 10 / 100
Cesena W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo W Cesena W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesena W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Arezzo W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Arezzo W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo W VS Cesena W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo W

(Home)
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
13 Sept
Vicenza W
3 : 1
Arezzo W
05 Sept
Arezzo W
1 : 0
San Marino Academy W
29 Aug
Cesena W
6 : 1
Arezzo W
13 Aug
Bologna W
3 : 0
Arezzo W
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Cesena W

(Away)
20 Sept
RES Roma W
1 : 4
Cesena W
12 Sept
Hellas Verona W
2 : 1
Cesena W
29 Aug
Cesena W
6 : 1
Arezzo W
22 Aug
Cesena W
2 : 1
San Marino Academy W
08 Aug
Cesena W
4 : 2
Sassuolo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 1907 W 26 22 3 1 72:20 69
2 Lumezzane W 26 18 4 4 52:24 58
3 Cesena W 26 17 2 7 63:33 53
4 Bologna W 26 13 4 9 50:38 43
5 Freedom W 26 11 9 6 50:43 42
6 RES Roma W 26 12 6 8 52:43 42
7 Frosinone W 26 9 6 11 36:43 33
8 Vicenza W 26 9 6 11 33:36 33
9 Brescia W 26 9 5 12 37:43 32
10 Arezzo W 26 8 5 13 29:43 29
11 San Marino Academy W 26 8 4 14 35:54 28
12 Hellas Verona W 26 4 7 15 28:48 19
13 Venezia W 26 4 4 18 30:71 16
14 Trastevere Calcio W 26 3 5 18 22:50 14
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