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Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Eisalou A.
19' Event
Abbasi M.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Ario Eslamshahr and Besat Kermanshah finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ario Eslamshahr
22%
Draws
18%
Besat Kermanshah
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ario Eslamshahr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ario Eslamshahr's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Besat Kermanshah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 14 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Feb 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Eisalou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abbasi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 68 / 100
Besat Kermanshah 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Besat Kermanshah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besat Kermanshah's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Besat Kermanshah let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ario Eslamshahr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Besat Kermanshah
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 6

Besat Kermanshah

(Away)
16 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
1 : 2
Pars Janoobi Jam
11 Jul
Naft Bandar Abbas
3 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
03 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 2
Fard
27 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
21 Jun
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 1
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
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