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Ariquemes FC vs Espigao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2011
Mon, Jul 4, 2011
1 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ariquemes FC
6%
Draws
4%
Espigao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espigao come out ahead of Ariquemes FC on wins alone.
  • Ariquemes FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Espigao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Espigao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 14%
Espigao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ariquemes FC Espigao
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2013 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Espigao
1:1
Mar 17, 2013 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Ariquemes FC
2:1
May 31, 2012 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Ariquemes FC
2:0
May 27, 2012 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Espigao
1:2
May 23, 2012 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Ariquemes FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ariquemes FC 84 / 100
Espigao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ariquemes FC Espigao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ariquemes FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ariquemes FC scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Espigao let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ariquemes FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ariquemes FC

(Home)
07 Jun
Ariquemes FC
2 : 1
Ji-Parana
27 May
Ariquemes FC
2 : 2
Vilhena
24 May
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ariquemes FC
14 May
Ariquemes FC
0 : 0
Real Ariquemes
06 May
Guajara
0 : 5
Ariquemes FC
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Espigao

(Away)
10 May
Vilhena
3 : 1
Espigao
01 May
Espigao
1 : 0
Ji-Parana
29 Apr
Genus
2 : 2
Espigao
21 Apr
Rolim de Moura
2 : 1
Espigao
14 Apr
Espigao
2 : 4
Pimentense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Espigao3
Vilhena2
Genus3
Ariquemes FC4
Final
Espigao2
Ariquemes FC1