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Ariquemes FC vs Morumbi FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
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AI Match Summary

Ariquemes FC in this Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ariquemes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ariquemes FC
6%
Draws
4%
Morumbi FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Morumbi FC haven't matched Ariquemes FC's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ariquemes FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 16%
Morumbi FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ariquemes FC Morumbi FC
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 7 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2 6
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Morumbi FC
4:2
Mar 6, 2016 Rondoniense
Morumbi FC vs Ariquemes FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ariquemes FC 84 / 100
Morumbi FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ariquemes FC Morumbi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Morumbi FC conceded in 93% of 14 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ariquemes FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ariquemes FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ariquemes FC VS Morumbi FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 6
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ariquemes FC

(Home)
07 Jun
Ariquemes FC
2 : 1
Ji-Parana
27 May
Ariquemes FC
2 : 2
Vilhena
24 May
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ariquemes FC
14 May
Ariquemes FC
0 : 0
Real Ariquemes
06 May
Guajara
0 : 5
Ariquemes FC
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Morumbi FC

(Away)
08 Jun
Morumbi FC
0 : 5
CA Rondoniense
05 Jun
Real Ariquemes
7 : 0
Morumbi FC
31 May
Genus
6 : 0
Morumbi FC
28 May
Morumbi FC
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura
22 May
Guajara
1 : 0
Morumbi FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Rondoniense743017:215
2Ji-Parana742114:714
3Genus741219:513
4Guajara74128:913
5Real Ariquemes732214:611
6Morumbi FC72058:256
7Ariquemes FC71246:165
8Rolim de Moura70163:191
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)