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Aris vs Asteras Tripolis

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Munoz M.
64' Event
Misehouy G.
83' Event

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aris
6%
Draws
4%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis haven't matched Aris's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aris taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aris Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Aris vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Asteras Tripolis
4:2
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Misehouy G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 95 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aris remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aris scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Asteras Tripolis conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Asteras Tripolis
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
13 May
Volos
1 : 2
Aris
10 May
Aris
3 : 1
OFI Crete
03 May
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Aris
18 Apr
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
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Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
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