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Aris vs Marko - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Alexopoulos V.
46'
Sub
Palacios S. In: Garre B.
Out: Palacios S.
46'
Sub
Mir R. In: Garcia M.
Out: Mir R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aris
15%
Draws
45%
Marko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marko come out ahead of Aris on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marko's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Marko arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aris here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 16%
Marko Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Marko
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Greek Cup
Aris vs Marko
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Greek Cup
Aris vs Marko
1:0
Aug 15, 2003 Greek Cup
Aris vs Marko
1:0
Aug 8, 2003 Greek Cup
Marko vs Aris
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 28 / 100
Marko 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Marko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marko Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Aris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marko has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Marko
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
01 Nov
Levadiakos
3 : 0
Aris
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
11 Oct
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
Page 1 of 6

Marko

(Away)
02 Nov
Marko
2 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
28 Oct
Marko
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
25 Oct
Panionios
0 : 4
Marko
17 Oct
Marko
0 : 0
Ellas Syrou
11 Oct
Marko
1 : 0
AEL Larissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 PAOK 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 AEK 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
5 Atromitos 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
6 Kalamata 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
7 OFI Crete 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
8 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Aris 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 AEL Larissa 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
12 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
13 Volos 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
14 Marko 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)