Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs Marko

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Aris Logo

Aris

1 - 0
FT
Marko Logo

Marko

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Alexopoulos V.
46'
Sub
Palacios S. In: Garre B.
Out: Palacios S.
46'
Sub
Mir R. In: Garcia M.
Out: Mir R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris
20%
Draws
47%
Marko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marko come out ahead of Aris on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marko's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Marko arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aris here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 19%
Marko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Marko
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Greek Cup
Aris vs Marko
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Greek Cup
Aris vs Marko
1:0
Aug 15, 2003 Greek Cup
Aris vs Marko
1:0
Aug 8, 2003 Greek Cup
Marko vs Aris
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 20 / 100
Marko 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Marko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marko Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marko has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Aris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Marko
2.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
30 Aug
Aris
2 : 1
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

Marko

(Away)
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
12 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Athens Kallithea
07 Sept
Marko
1 : 0
Panserraikos
02 Sept
Marko
2 : 2
Kifisia
24 Aug
Ellas Syrou
1 : 2
Marko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Asteras Tripolis 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
10 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
11 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Kifisia 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
13 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
14 Niki Volos 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 2 0 0 2 1:9 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)