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Juarez W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Juarez W have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Guadalajara Chivas W's 1.89 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas W slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Guadalajara Chivas W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Juarez W
15%
Draws
42%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Guadalajara Chivas W at 1.89 per game, Juarez W at 1.57.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 15%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Aug 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez W 27 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Juarez W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Juarez W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez W

(Home)
07 Nov
Juarez W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
01 Nov
Puebla W
1 : 2
Juarez W
25 Oct
Juarez W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
18 Oct
Atletico San Luis W
1 : 2
Juarez W
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
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Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
07 Nov
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 3
Club America W
31 Oct
Toluca W
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
26 Oct
Atlante W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
21 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
7 : 0
Necaxa W
17 Oct
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monterrey W -
Pachuca W -
Tigres UANL W -
UNAM Pumas W -
Club America W -
Toluca W -
Guadalajara Chivas W -
Juarez W -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -