Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa FMF (Mato Grosso). Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cuiaba at 1.82 goals for, 0.93 against; Chapada at 1.74 for, 0.85 against. Head-to-head, Cuiaba have won 0 to Chapada's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.54 - 0.96) back Chapada to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Chapada come out ahead of Cuiaba on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Chapada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cuiaba | Chapada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Cuiaba found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Cuiaba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Chapada conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.
