Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Rose L.
36' Event
Nuss T.
Assist: Shengelia L.
40'
Nuss T.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Aris and OFI Crete finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OFI Crete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aris
30%
Draws
51%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • OFI Crete carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans OFI Crete's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris OFI Crete
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
2:1
May 10, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
3:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuss T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fountas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 10 / 100
OFI Crete 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFI Crete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

OFI Crete has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aris remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS OFI Crete
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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OFI Crete

(Away)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 26 18 6 2 49:17 60
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 26 17 7 2 45:11 58
3 PAOK 26 17 6 3 52:17 57
4 Panathinaikos 26 14 7 5 44:26 49
5 Levadiakos 26 12 6 8 51:37 42
6 OFI Crete 26 10 2 14 34:45 32
7 Volos 26 9 4 13 26:38 31
8 Aris 26 6 12 8 20:27 30
9 Atromitos 26 7 8 11 26:30 29
10 Kifisia 26 6 9 11 32:42 27
11 Panetolikos 26 7 5 14 24:38 26
12 AEL Larissa 26 4 11 11 22:39 23
13 Panserraikos 26 4 5 17 16:55 17
14 Asteras Tripolis 26 3 8 15 22:41 17
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)