Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Arlesey play East Thurrock Utd in the FA Trophy 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arlesey averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. East Thurrock Utd averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Arlesey won 0, East Thurrock Utd won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 18, 2014 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Arlesey and 2.19 for East Thurrock Utd. This points to a East Thurrock Utd double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arlesey picked up more points recently compared to East Thurrock Utd.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arlesey | East Thurrock Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arlesey scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
East Thurrock Utd let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 5.50 goals.
Arlesey went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
East Thurrock Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics