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Arlesey vs East Thurrock Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

England

FA Trophy 2014/2015

Arlesey

1 - 2

East Thurrock Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

East Thurrock Utd in this FA Trophy 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Arlesey

15%

Draws

85%

East Thurrock Utd

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Thurrock Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

East Thurrock Utd have won more games recently than Arlesey.
85% — that's where the model lands on East Thurrock Utd taking it.
East Thurrock Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor East Thurrock Utd, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Arlesey Clean Sheet 10%

East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arlesey	East Thurrock Utd
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	8
Draws	5	3
Losses	20	19
Goals Scored	0.87	1.07
Goals Conceded	2.3	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2014 FA Trophy

Arlesey vs East Thurrock Utd

1:2

Nov 15, 2014 FA Trophy

East Thurrock Utd vs Arlesey

4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arlesey 10 / 100

East Thurrock Utd 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arlesey East Thurrock Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Thurrock Utd Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Thurrock Utd has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Difficult form: East Thurrock Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arlesey scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Arlesey VS East Thurrock Utd

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

3.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 63%

100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arlesey

(Home)

30 Aug

Eynesbury Rovers

3 : 1

Arlesey

15 Jul

Arlesey

0 : 4

Hendon

04 Sept

Arlesey

0 : 5

Bowers & Pitsea

07 Sept

Hadley

3 : 2

Arlesey

28 Oct

Needham Market

3 : 1

Arlesey

Page 1 of 6

East Thurrock Utd

(Away)

09 Sept

AFC Dunstable

East Thurrock Utd

24 Sept

Cray Valley

5 : 3

East Thurrock Utd

17 Sept

East Thurrock Utd

0 : 3

Biggleswade Town

13 Sept

East Thurrock Utd

3 : 1

Sutton Common Rovers

03 Sept

East Thurrock Utd

2 : 1

Biggleswade FC

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Chasetown 5

Norton United 0

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Newcastle Town 2

Grantham Town -

TBD -

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Loughborough Dynamo 6

Spennymoor 3

Harrogate Railway 2

Lancaster 2

Bamber Bridge 6

Spalding United 6

Soham 1

Bedworth United 2

Leek Town 5

Rushall -

TBD -

Cambridge City -

Stafford 1

Rugby 0

St Ives Town 0

Stratford 1

Blyth Spartans -

TBD -

Farsley -

Matlock -

TBD -

Halesowen -

Neots -

TBD -

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Radcliffe 0

Darlington FC 2

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Kendal 1

Northwich Victoria 2

Stamford -

TBD -

Barwell -

Witton Albion -

TBD -

Stocksbridge 3

Sheffield FC 4

Clitheroe 3

Droylsden 2

TBD -

Workington -

Market Drayton 5

Rainworth 2

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Carlton Town -

Redditch -

TBD -

Corby -

Trafford -

TBD -

Brighouse Town 0

Ossett Town 1

Gresley 2

Tividale 0

Daventry 0

Romulus 2

Prescot Cables 2

Salford 1

Burscough 0

Goole 1

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Brigg Town 2

Padiham 4

Ashton United -

TBD -

Buxton -

Nantwich -

TBD -

Skelmersdale -

Whitby -

TBD -

Ramsbottom Utd -

Mickleover 4

Coalville Town 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Kettering 2

Mossley AFC 2

Warrington Town 1

Ossett Albion 1

New Mills 2

Evesham -

TBD -

Banbury -

Frickley -

TBD -

Marine -

Hereford -

TBD -

Cinderford Town 2

AFC Totton 4

Bishops Cleeve -

TBD -

Clevedon 0

Mangotsfield 3

FC Witham Town -

TBD -

Potters 3

Royston Town 6

Egham Town 2

Bridgwater United 1

TBD -

Truro -

Dereham 2

Hanwell Town 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Tiverton 2

Wantage 0

Bashley 0

Sholing 1

Weymouth -

TBD -

Larkhall 2

Shortwood 4

Hitchin -

TBD -

Burnham FC -

Maidstone -

TBD -

Needham Market 1

Walton & Hersham 3

Sudbury 3

Whitstable Town 1

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Billericay -

Chalfont St Peter 2

AFC Hayes 1

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Barkingside -

TBD -

Kingstonian -

Ware 4

Great Wakering 0

Sittingbourne 2

Horsham FC 6

Peacehaven & Telscombe -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 1

Walton Casuals 6

Three Bridges 4

Carshalton 1

Aylesbury United 2

Thamesmead 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Wroxham 2

Harlow 5

South Park 5

Cheshunt 1

Herne Bay 3

Heybridge 6

Leiston -

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals 4

Leighton Town 6

Fleet Town 2

Swindon Supermarine 1

TBD -

Paulton Rovers -

Burgess Hill 1

Aveley 0

TBD -

Chesham -

Thurrock 4

Tilbury 3

Ramsgate 1

Folkestone 4

Slough Town -

TBD -

Margate -

Cirencester -

TBD -

Taunton Town 1

Merthyr Town 2

Brentwood 3

Redhill 2

TBD -

Biggleswade Town -

North Leigh 2

Yate 1

TBD -

Poole Town -

Uxbridge 4

Romford 3

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Hythe 3

Didcot 3

Marlow 1

TBD -

Bideford -

Bedford 4

Chipstead 3

Burnham Ramblers 1

Brightlingsea 5

Frome Town -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

Whyteleafe 2

Redbridge 1

TBD -

Dunstable Town -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Hornchurch -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Aylesbury Vale 2

Tooting & Mitcham 1

TBD -

Merstham -

Histon -

TBD -

Belper Town -

Faversham 4

Beaconsfield Town 0

Hastings 0

Cray Wanderers 2

Hungerford -

TBD -

East Thurrock Utd -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Arlesey -

Hendon -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chatham 1

North Greenford Utd. 0

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

VCD Athletic -

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Grays -

Wimborne 3

Godalming Town 2

TBD -

Dorchester -

Guernsey FC 4

Barton 0

Waltham Abbey 1

Northwood 3

TBD -

Semi-finals

Chasetown 2

Newcastle Town 1

Grantham Town 1

Loughborough Dynamo 3

Spennymoor 3

Bamber Bridge 1

Spalding United 3

Leek Town 4

Rushall 2

Cambridge City 0

Stafford 0

Stratford 1

Blyth Spartans 2

Farsley 0

Matlock 1

Halesowen 5

Neots 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Darlington FC 4

Curzon Ashton 1

Northwich Victoria 0

Stamford 0

Barwell 1

Witton Albion 1

Sheffield FC 0

Clitheroe 0

Workington 2

Market Drayton 3

King’s Lynn 7

Stourbridge 5

Carlton Town 3

Redditch 1

Corby 0

Trafford 5

Ossett Town 2

Gresley 3

Romulus 1

Prescot Cables 2

Goole 4

United of Manchester 2

Padiham 0

Ashton United 0

Buxton 2

Nantwich 2

Skelmersdale 0

Whitby 1

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Mickleover 3

Kettering 2

Mossley AFC 2

New Mills 3

Evesham 2

Banbury 3

Frickley 0

Marine 2

Hereford 2

AFC Totton 1

Bishops Cleeve 1

Mangotsfield 5

FC Witham Town 2

Royston Town 1

Egham Town 0

Truro 3

Dereham 1

Enfield Town 0

Tiverton 0

Sholing 1

Weymouth 1

Shortwood 0

Hitchin 2

Burnham FC 4

Maidstone 3

Walton & Hersham 2

Sudbury 4

Bognor Regis 3

Metropolitan Police 1

Billericay 0

Chalfont St Peter 0

Dulwich Hamlet 3

Barkingside 3

Kingstonian 1

Ware 0

Horsham FC 1

Peacehaven & Telscombe 4

Walton Casuals 2

Three Bridges 1

Thamesmead 3

Lewes 1

Harlow 0

South Park 1

Heybridge 4

Leiston 7

Leighton Town 4

Fleet Town 0

Paulton Rovers 3

Burgess Hill 2

Chesham 0

Thurrock 2

Folkestone 3

Slough Town 2

Margate 0

Cirencester 0

Merthyr Town 2

Brentwood 3

Biggleswade Town 4

North Leigh 1

Poole Town 3

Uxbridge 6

Hythe 1

Didcot 5

Bideford 4

Bedford 4

Brightlingsea 0

Frome Town 1

Chippenham Town 3

Whyteleafe 3

Dunstable Town 1

Leatherhead 4

Canvey Island 3

Hornchurch 2

Harrow Borough 0

Aylesbury Vale 1

Merstham 2

Histon 3

Belper Town 2

Faversham 0

Cray Wanderers 3

Hungerford 3

East Thurrock Utd 5

Wingate & Finchley 1

Arlesey 2

Hendon 3

Bury Town 1

Chatham 1

Worthing FC 2

Tonbridge 2

VCD Athletic 0

Hampton & Richmond 0

Grays 3

Wimborne 3

Dorchester 1

Guernsey FC 2

Northwood 3

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Chasetown 4

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Spennymoor 4

Leek Town 3

Rushall 5

Stratford 0

Blyth Spartans 1

Halesowen 3

Neots 3

Darlington FC 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Barwell 2

Witton Albion 3

Workington 6

King’s Lynn 3

Stourbridge 1

Redditch 5

Trafford 2

Gresley 2

Goole 0

United of Manchester 2

Buxton 0

Nantwich 1

Ramsbottom Utd 3

Mickleover 3

New Mills 1

Banbury 3

Marine 2

Hereford 2

Mangotsfield 0

FC Witham Town 0

Truro 1

Dereham 0

Sholing 2

Weymouth 1

Burnham FC 0

Maidstone 0

Sudbury 2

Metropolitan Police 2

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Barkingside 1

Horsham FC 3

Peacehaven & Telscombe 4

Thamesmead 3

Lewes 4

Heybridge 3

Leiston 3

Paulton Rovers 2

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 0

Slough Town 3

Merthyr Town 4

Biggleswade Town 1

Poole Town 2

Uxbridge 1

Didcot 2

Bedford 2

Chippenham Town 1

Whyteleafe 1

Leatherhead 4

Hornchurch 4

Merstham 2

Histon 0

Cray Wanderers 2

East Thurrock Utd 6

Arlesey 5

Hendon 4

Worthing FC 0

Tonbridge 2

Grays 0

Wimborne 2

Northwood 1

TBD -

Arlesey vs East Thurrock Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

England

Arlesey

East Thurrock Utd

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Arlesey

East Thurrock Utd

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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