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Armadale vs Perth Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Scafetta M.
17' Event
Jacobsz P.
61'
Sutherland C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Armadale and Perth Azzurri finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth Azzurri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Armadale
30%
Draws
43%
Perth Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Azzurri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Perth Azzurri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Perth Azzurri a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Perth Azzurri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.83 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Perth Azzurri
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Armadale
6:5
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Armadale
4:2
May 17, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Perth Azzurri
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Armadale
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Dao Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Perth Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacobsz P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Scafetta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 10 / 100
Perth Azzurri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Perth Azzurri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Azzurri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Perth Azzurri conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.60 goals per match.

Armadale found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Armadale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Perth Azzurri
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
25 Jul
Stirling Macedonia
1 : 1
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

Perth Azzurri

(Away)
08 Sept
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 2
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)