Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group

Bursaspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arnavutkoy Bl. play Bursaspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arnavutkoy Bl. averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Bursaspor averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Arnavutkoy Bl. won 1, Bursaspor won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Arnavutkoy Bl. and 1.50 for Bursaspor. This points to a Bursaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Arnavutkoy Bl.

15%

Draws

53%

Bursaspor

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Arnavutkoy Bl. picked up more points recently compared to Bursaspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 16%

Bursaspor Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arnavutkoy Bl.	Bursaspor
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	12	22
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.17	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Bursaspor

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 13, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Bursaspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Apr 30, 2023 2. Lig White Group

Bursaspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Nov 26, 2022 2. Lig White Group

Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Bursaspor

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Depe I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnavutkoy Bl. 32 / 100

Bursaspor 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arnavutkoy Bl. Bursaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (2)

Secondary Pick Bursaspor & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arnavutkoy Bl. attacking → ← attacking Bursaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnavutkoy Bl. scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bursaspor let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Arnavutkoy Bl. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bursaspor lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 71

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52