Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Arroyo in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arroyo lately — more wins on the board than Imperio Merida.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%
Imperio Merida Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arroyo | Imperio Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 20 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Imperio Merida vs Arroyo
0:2
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Imperio Merida
1:0
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Imperio Merida
1:1
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Imperio Merida vs Arroyo
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arroyo 30 / 100
Imperio Merida 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arroyo Imperio Merida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arroyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Imperio Merida let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Arroyo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Imperio Merida lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arroyo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arroyo
(Home) 11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0 Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0 Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
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11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
30 Mar
Arroyo
2 : 2 Castuera
16 Mar
Arroyo
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
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Imperio Merida
(Away) 15 May
Atletico San Jose Promesas
3 : 3 Imperio Merida
08 May
Imperio Merida
0 : 2 Arroyo
01 May
CD Coria
3 : 0 Imperio Merida
21 Apr
Imperio Merida
1 : 4 Olivenza CP
17 Apr
Santa Amalia
3 : 2 Imperio Merida
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15 May
Atletico San Jose Promesas
3 : 3 Imperio Merida
01 May
CD Coria
3 : 0 Imperio Merida
17 Apr
Santa Amalia
3 : 2 Imperio Merida
03 Apr
Miajadas
3 : 0 Imperio Merida
20 Mar
Diter Zafra
2 : 0 Imperio Merida
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villanovense | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 83:30 | 93 |
| 2 | Sp. Villanueva | 38 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 81:24 | 92 |
| 3 | Arroyo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 62:36 | 70 |
| 4 | Jerez CF | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 61:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 48:32 | 58 |
| 6 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:49 | 56 |
| 7 | Don Benito | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 48:47 | 56 |
| 8 | Moralo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 47:45 | 54 |
| 9 | Miajadas | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 38:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:39 | 51 |
| 11 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 12 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:50 | 49 |
| 13 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 39:48 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:52 | 47 |
| 15 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 52:61 | 44 |
| 16 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 53:68 | 42 |
| 17 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 38:52 | 39 |
| 18 | CD Santa Marta | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:58 | 35 |
| 19 | Olivenza CP | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 39:72 | 30 |
| 20 | Imperio Merida | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:98 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
