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Arsenal Bila Tserkva vs FC Mariupol II

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2016/2017 game between Arsenal Bila Tserkva and FC Mariupol II finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Mariupol II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arsenal Bila Tserkva
44%
Draws
20%
FC Mariupol II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal Bila Tserkva haven't matched FC Mariupol II's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arsenal Bila Tserkva Clean Sheet 18%
FC Mariupol II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Bila Tserkva FC Mariupol II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 1 1
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2017 Druha Liga
Arsenal Bila Tserkva vs FC Mariupol II
0:2
Aug 15, 2016 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs Arsenal Bila Tserkva
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Bila Tserkva 36 / 100
FC Mariupol II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Bila Tserkva FC Mariupol II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mariupol II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: FC Mariupol II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arsenal Bila Tserkva scored in 34% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Bila Tserkva VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Bila Tserkva

(Home)
02 Jun
Bukovyna
3 : 1
Arsenal Bila Tserkva
25 May
Arsenal Bila Tserkva
0 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
20 May
Lviv
3 : 0
Arsenal Bila Tserkva
12 May
Arsenal Bila Tserkva
2 : 3
Nyva Vinnytsya
06 May
Arsenal Bila Tserkva
0 : 1
Skala Stryj
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FC Mariupol II

(Away)
02 Jun
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 0
FC Mariupol II
27 May
FC Mariupol II
1 : 3
Myr Hornostajivka
21 May
Krystal
:
FC Mariupol II
18 May
FC Mariupol II
0 : 2
Zhemchuzhyna Odesa
13 May
Kremin
2 : 0
FC Mariupol II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zhemchuzhyna Odesa32244475:2276
2Rukh Lviv32235468:2474
3Kremin32215667:2968
4FK Balkany32169754:3257
5Real Pharma Odesa32169750:3157
6Inhulets 2321481050:3350
7Nyva Vinnytsya321481042:3350
8Nova Kakhovka321461262:4648
9Myr Hornostajivka321391039:3148
10Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)321441451:3546
11FC Nikopol321251540:4941
12FC Mariupol II321112042:5634
13Krystal32752031:2426
14FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi32742129:6825
15Arsenal Bila Tserkva32742129:8225
16FC Metalurh Zaporizhya32722335:10423
17Sudnobudivnyk Mykolaiv32642219:8422
Promotion - Persha Liga 2017/2018 (Main)