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Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac Prediction & H2H Stats

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion u Parku, Tivat
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mikijelj Z.
50'
Zivanovic M.
55'
Mandic S.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 game between Arsenal Tivat and Petrovac finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tivat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Arsenal Tivat
20%
Draws
32%
Petrovac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal Tivat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal Tivat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal Tivat's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 68%
Petrovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Petrovac
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac
3:2
Aug 24, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikijelj Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovinic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Petrovac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 46 / 100
Petrovac 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Petrovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Petrovac conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Petrovac lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Tivat's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Petrovac
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tivat

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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Petrovac

(Away)
28 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 1
Mladost DG
18 Sept
Buducnost
4 : 1
Petrovac
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutjeska 36 22 6 8 61:36 72
2 Mornar Bar 36 20 9 7 51:29 69
3 Petrovac 36 13 12 11 44:36 51
4 Decic 36 14 9 13 43:45 51
5 Buducnost 36 13 9 14 36:35 48
6 Mladost DG 36 14 4 18 49:54 46
7 Arsenal Tivat 36 12 10 14 36:46 46
8 Jezero 36 10 11 15 38:48 41
9 Bokelj 36 8 12 16 38:48 36
10 Jedinstvo 36 9 8 19 30:49 35
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)