Sport Picks

Montenegro

Druga Liga 2014/2015

Zabjelo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tivat play Zabjelo in the Druga Liga 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arsenal Tivat averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Zabjelo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 3, Zabjelo won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2015 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Arsenal Tivat and 1.06 for Zabjelo. This points to a Arsenal Tivat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Arsenal Tivat

25%

Draws

31%

Zabjelo

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Arsenal Tivat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Arsenal Tivat picked up more points recently compared to Zabjelo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 22%

Zabjelo Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arsenal Tivat	Zabjelo
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	16	10
Draws	7	6
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.13	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Druga Liga

Arsenal Tivat vs Zabjelo

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Nov 23, 2014 Druga Liga

Arsenal Tivat vs Zabjelo

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 10, 2014 Druga Liga

Zabjelo vs Arsenal Tivat

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

0:3

May 24, 2014 Druga Liga

Zabjelo vs Arsenal Tivat

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Nov 10, 2013 Druga Liga

Arsenal Tivat vs Zabjelo

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 44 / 100

Zabjelo 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arsenal Tivat Zabjelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arsenal Tivat or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal Tivat attacking → ← attacking Zabjelo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tivat scored in 64% of their last 39 games.

Zabjelo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Arsenal Tivat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Zabjelo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 36

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iskra Danilovgrad	33	20	7	6	55:26	67
2	Decic	33	20	6	7	58:28	65
3	Igalo	33	15	12	6	41:25	57
4	Radnicki Berane	33	14	6	13	51:38	48
5	Jedinstvo	33	12	12	9	28:29	48
6	Kom Podgorica	33	9	13	11	35:38	40
7	FK Cetinje	33	11	6	16	36:54	39
8	Jezero	33	9	10	14	34:45	37
9	Ibar	33	9	10	14	31:41	37
10	Bratstvo Cijevna	33	10	6	17	38:58	36
11	Zabjelo	33	10	7	16	38:46	36
12	Arsenal Tivat	33	9	5	19	30:47	32