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Arsenal (TO) vs Bela Vista-TO

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista-TO in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bela Vista-TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arsenal (TO)
44%
Draws
20%
Bela Vista-TO
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bela Vista-TO lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal (TO).
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal (TO) Bela Vista-TO
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Arsenal (TO) vs Bela Vista-TO
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal (TO) 36 / 100
Bela Vista-TO 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal (TO) Bela Vista-TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Arsenal (TO) found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bela Vista-TO's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bela Vista-TO
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batalhao642022:514
2Interporto633016:512
3Araguaia (TO)63219:511
4Sao Jose (TO)632111:1011
5Alvorada62137:97
6Taquarussu61054:213
7Uniao de Palmas60064:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bela Vista-TO541017:113
2SD Sparta532010:211
3Guarai SC530212:69
4Araguacema521210:77
5Arsenal (TO)40041:90
6Colinas40041:260