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Arsenal Tula vs Nasaf Qarshi

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abdikholikov B.

AI Match Summary

Nasaf Qarshi in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nasaf Qarshi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arsenal Tula
39%
Draws
31%
Nasaf Qarshi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nasaf Qarshi have won more games recently than Arsenal Tula.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 16%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula Nasaf Qarshi
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tula vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nasaf Qarshi Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdikholikov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 30 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula Nasaf Qarshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Nasaf Qarshi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Arsenal Tula stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS Nasaf Qarshi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%