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Artsul vs Paduano EC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Artsul Logo

Artsul

0 - 1
FT
Paduano EC Logo

Paduano EC

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Match Events

90' Event
Lyniker
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Artsul and Paduano EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paduano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Artsul
30%
Draws
33%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Artsul's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Paduano EC have produced (1).
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Paduano EC
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Carioca B1
Paduano EC vs Artsul
0:2
Oct 4, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Paduano EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paduano EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyniker
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 41 / 100
Paduano EC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artsul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Paduano EC conceded in 65% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Artsul went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Paduano EC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Paduano EC

(Away)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)