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Aruba U20 vs Saint Martin U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Arrondell A.
81' Event
Croes G.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 game between Aruba U20 and Saint Martin U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aruba U20
30%
Draws
23%
Saint Martin U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aruba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aruba U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aruba U20 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Saint Martin U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba U20 Saint Martin U20
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 4 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.81 3.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Saint Martin U20 vs Aruba U20
0:4
Nov 2, 2018 CONCACAF Championship U20
Aruba U20 vs Saint Martin U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Croes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Saint Martin U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrondell A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba U20 48 / 100
Saint Martin U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba U20 Saint Martin U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saint Martin U20 conceded in 100% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aruba U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Saint Martin U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aruba U20 VS Saint Martin U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba U20

(Home)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
Page 1 of 5

Saint Martin U20

(Away)
03 Mar
Belize U20
2 : 1
Saint Martin U20
01 Mar
Saint Martin U20
1 : 1
French Guiana U20
27 Feb
Suriname U20
1 : 2
Saint Martin U20
26 Feb
Saint Martin U20
1 : 4
El Salvador U20
23 Feb
Grenada U20
2 : 1
Saint Martin U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 5 5 0 0 39:2 15
2 Suriname U20 5 3 0 2 18:12 9
3 Puerto Rico U20 5 3 0 2 16:15 9
4 Trinidad & Tobago U20 5 3 0 2 12:11 9
5 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
6 United States Virgin Islands U20 5 0 0 5 2:40 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 5 4 1 0 31:2 13
2 Jamaica U20 5 4 1 0 24:3 13
3 Grenada U20 5 2 0 3 7:14 6
4 Nicaragua U20 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
5 Aruba U20 5 1 1 3 6:20 4
6 Saint Martin U20 5 0 1 4 3:23 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 5 5 0 0 30:5 15
2 Cuba U20 5 4 0 1 19:5 12
3 Dominican Republic U20 5 3 0 2 23:10 9
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
5 Belize U20 5 1 0 4 5:19 3
6 Sint Maarten U20 5 0 0 5 4:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U20 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Canada U20 5 3 0 2 10:6 9
3 Guadeloupe U20 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
4 Dominica U20 5 2 0 3 5:14 6
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 5 1 0 4 7:10 3
6 Martinique U20 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U20 4 4 0 0 14:0 12
2 Haiti U20 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Saint Lucia U20 4 2 0 2 3:8 6
4 Barbados U20 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
5 Bermuda U20 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
2 Guatemala U20 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Curacao U20 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Cayman Islands U20 4 1 1 2 8:11 4
5 Guyana U20 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)