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Arucas vs Telde

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Asdrubal F.
72' Event
Asdrubal F.
74' Event
Yanez S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Arucas and Telde finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arucas
35%
Draws
19%
Telde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Telde haven't matched Arucas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arucas a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Arucas Clean Sheet 16%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arucas Telde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Telde
2:2
Sep 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Arucas
0:0
Jan 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Arucas
1:0
Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Telde
1:0
May 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Arucas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Asdrubal F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Telde Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanez S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arucas 39 / 100
Telde 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arucas Telde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telde let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Arucas found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Arucas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Telde registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arucas VS Telde
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arucas

(Home)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
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Telde

(Away)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)