Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aryan vs Mohammedan

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Dewan I.
40' Event
Dasgupta S.
Own Goal
45' Event
Sarkar S.

AI Match Summary

The Calcutta Premier Division game between Aryan and Mohammedan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohammedan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Aryan
20%
Draws
28%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aryan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohammedan come out ahead of Aryan on wins alone.
  • Aryan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mohammedan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aryan Clean Sheet 20%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aryan Mohammedan
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Aryan vs Mohammedan
1:3
Aug 28, 2025 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohammedan vs Aryan
1:0
Aug 19, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohammedan vs Aryan
4:1
Sep 25, 2022 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohammedan vs Aryan
3:0
Aug 7, 2019 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohammedan vs Aryan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aryan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarkar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dewan I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aryan 85 / 100
Mohammedan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aryan Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aryan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammedan has conceded goals in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Aryan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aryan's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aryan VS Mohammedan
2.17 Goals Scored 2
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aryan

(Home)
03 Sept
Kalighat SL
0 : 3
Aryan
28 Aug
Aryan
2 : 1
United SC
24 Aug
Aryan
5 : 0
Rainbow SC
20 Aug
Aryan
2 : 0
Measures Club
14 Aug
Peerless
1 : 1
Aryan
Page 1 of 6

Mohammedan

(Away)
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
28 Aug
Coal India
2 : 0
Mohammedan
25 Aug
Measures Club
2 : 3
Mohammedan
22 Aug
United SC
1 : 1
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 11 8 3 0 27:7 27
2 Bhawanipore 11 8 3 0 21:5 27
3 Mohun Bagan U23 11 7 2 2 26:6 23
4 Calcutta Customs 11 5 3 3 24:12 18
5 United Kolkata 11 4 4 3 22:16 16
6 Kalighat Milan Sangha 11 4 2 5 18:13 14
7 Railway FC 11 4 2 5 20:20 14
8 Kidderpore SC 11 2 6 3 15:18 12
9 BSS Sporting 11 3 3 5 17:21 12
10 Patha Chakra 11 3 1 7 12:32 10
11 George Telegrapher 11 2 1 8 7:33 7
12 Bidhannagar Municipal SA 11 0 2 9 5:31 2
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coal India 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Mohammedan 11 6 3 2 18:12 21
3 United SC 11 6 2 3 24:9 20
4 Peerless 11 6 2 3 20:9 20
5 Aryan 11 5 4 2 18:6 19
6 Calcutta Police 11 5 3 3 13:11 18
7 Police AC 11 4 5 2 13:11 17
8 Measures Club 11 3 6 2 21:17 15
9 Suruchi Sangha 11 2 3 6 11:20 9
10 Rainbow SC 11 2 1 8 13:31 7
11 Wari 11 1 4 6 9:28 7
12 Kalighat SL 11 0 3 8 4:21 3
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)