Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arzignano vs Lecco

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Marrone L.
35'
Sub
Toniolo F. In: Lanzi E.
Out: Toniolo F.
58' Event
Duca E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Arzignano and Lecco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arzignano
6%
Draws
4%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzignano come out ahead of Lecco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arzignano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lecco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Lecco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Lecco
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Lecco
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Arzignano
5:1
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Lecco
2:0
Sep 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Arzignano
3:2
Feb 26, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Arzignano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lecco Compare

Top Goalscorer Duca E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 95 / 100
Lecco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Arzignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arzignano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lecco has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Lecco
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Lecco

(Away)
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)