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Arzignano vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Moretti A.
30' Event
Lakti E.
45' Event
Lakti E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Arzignano and Triestina finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arzignano
6%
Draws
4%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Triestina haven't matched Arzignano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arzignano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Triestina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Triestina
4:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Arzignano
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Arzignano vs Triestina
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Triestina
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Arzignano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakti E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mattioli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Okolo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 95 / 100
Triestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Triestina conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Arzignano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Arzignano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Triestina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)