Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Moretti A.
30'
30'
Lakti E.
45'
45'
Lakti E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Arzignano and Triestina finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzignano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Triestina haven't matched Arzignano's recent run of results.
- Model gives Arzignano a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzignano | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Triestina
4:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Arzignano
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Arzignano vs Triestina
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Triestina
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Arzignano
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arzignano Compare
Top Goalscorer Lakti E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mattioli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Triestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Okolo D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arzignano 68 / 100
Triestina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arzignano Triestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Triestina conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Arzignano found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Arzignano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arzignano VS Triestina
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Arzignano
(Home) 20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2 Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
15 Aug
Arzignano
2 : 1 AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 3
Triestina
(Away) 20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0 Triestina
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
20 Mar
Trento
2 : 2 Triestina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
