Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Arzua and Fisterra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fisterra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fisterra's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Arzua have produced (0.95).
- Win probability leans Arzua's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzua | Fisterra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 23 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fisterra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Fisterra's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Arzua's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arzua
(Home)Fisterra
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
