Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Arzua and UD Ourense finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arzua haven't matched UD Ourense's recent run of results.
- Arzua are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors UD Ourense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzua | UD Ourense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arzua Compare
UD Ourense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
UD Ourense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Arzua's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arzua
(Home)UD Ourense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 73 |
| 2 | Gran Pena | 34 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 3 | Arosa SC | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 39:23 | 58 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Sarriana | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:35 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 46:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 8 | Estradense | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:32 | 45 |
| 9 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 33:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Viveiro | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:42 | 44 |
| 11 | Alondras | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 37:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Silva SD | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:35 | 43 |
| 13 | Lugo B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 32:34 | 43 |
| 14 | Betanzos CF | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:31 | 43 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 16 | Paiosaco | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 18 | Arzua | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24:66 | 18 |
