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AS Acireale vs Nuova Gioiese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Cicirello G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between AS Acireale and Nuova Gioiese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Acireale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AS Acireale
30%
Draws
47%
Nuova Gioiese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nuova Gioiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • AS Acireale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AS Acireale's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Acireale Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played 44 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 16 3
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.11 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs AS Acireale
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Nuova Gioiese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Acireale Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicirello G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Acireale 50 / 100
Nuova Gioiese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Acireale Nuova Gioiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Acireale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuova Gioiese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

AS Acireale scored in 75% of their last 44 games.

Difficult form: Nuova Gioiese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AS Acireale VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Acireale

(Home)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
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Nuova Gioiese

(Away)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)