Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

AS Acireale

1 - 0

Nuova Gioiese

Our Tip

Match Events

72'

Cicirello G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between AS Acireale and Nuova Gioiese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Acireale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

AS Acireale

33%

Draws

27%

Nuova Gioiese

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AS Acireale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

AS Acireale carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans AS Acireale's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

AS Acireale Clean Sheet 68%

Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AS Acireale	Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	9	2
Draws	11	3
Losses	12	24
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	2.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs AS Acireale

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group I

AS Acireale vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Acireale Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicirello G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Acireale 50 / 100

Nuova Gioiese 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AS Acireale Nuova Gioiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuova Gioiese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

AS Acireale scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Difficult form: Nuova Gioiese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AS Acireale VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

2.13 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0