Sport Picks
AS Douanes vs Etoile Filante
Burkina Faso
Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Demba Diop, Dakar 
Match Events
43'
43'
Minoungou R.
Assist: Diarra A.
56'
56'
Sebgo M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between AS Douanes and Etoile Filante finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile Filante.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etoile Filante
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AS Douanes come out ahead of Etoile Filante on wins alone.
- Etoile Filante are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 26%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Douanes | Etoile Filante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Etoile Filante
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs AS Douanes
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs AS Douanes
2:1
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Etoile Filante
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs AS Douanes
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Douanes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Etoile Filante Compare
Top Goalscorer Minoungou R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sebgo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Douanes 21 / 100
Etoile Filante 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Douanes Etoile Filante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile Filante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Douanes found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Etoile Filante conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
AS Douanes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AS Douanes VS Etoile Filante
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Douanes
(Home) 19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0 AS Douanes
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2 CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1 AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
Page 1 of 6
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2 CFFEB
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
04 Apr
AS Douanes
0 : 2 Etoile Filante
13 Mar
AS Douanes
1 : 0 Real Du Faso
Page 1 of 3
Etoile Filante
(Away) 10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Etoile Filante
2 : 0 Majestic
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
04 Apr
AS Douanes
0 : 2 Etoile Filante
15 Mar
ASFA Yennega
2 : 2 Etoile Filante
01 Mar
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 1 Etoile Filante
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 47:15 | 69 |
| 2 | USFA | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 31:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Sporting Cascades | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Douanes | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 29:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Majestic | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | 43 |
| 6 | CFFEB | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Salitas | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:31 | 40 |
| 8 | Kadiogo | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:27 | 38 |
| 9 | ASFA Yennega | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | 38 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Du Faso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 12 | ASF Dioulasso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:31 | 37 |
| 13 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 24:28 | 36 |
| 14 | Etoile Filante | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11:28 | 27 |
| 16 | AJE Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:37 | 26 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
