Sport Picks
AS Gabes vs Etoile Sahel
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes 
Match Events
27'
27'
30'
30'
46'
46'
Sub
Bidani M. In: Yaakoubi R.
Out: Bidani M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between AS Gabes and Etoile Sahel finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile Sahel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Etoile Sahel come out ahead of AS Gabes on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Etoile Sahel have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 21%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Gabes | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.45 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Etoile Sahel
0:0
Aug 28, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs AS Gabes
3:0
Mar 12, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Etoile Sahel
0:2
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs AS Gabes
2:0
May 26, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs AS Gabes
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Gabes 32 / 100
Etoile Sahel 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Gabes Etoile Sahel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile Sahel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etoile Sahel has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Etoile Sahel lost 3 of their last 5 games.
AS Gabes scored in 38% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
AS Gabes VS Etoile Sahel
0.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Gabes
(Home) 13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
06 Mar
AS Gabes
0 : 2 Jeunesse Sportive
Page 1 of 3
Etoile Sahel
(Away) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
