Sport Picks
AS Maniema vs Nairobi United
Africa
CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Stade TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi 
Match Events
5'
5'
Namboka B.
Assist: Mbala O.
29'
29'
Namboka B.
Assist: Pitroipa C.
44'
44'
Mboma Kinda J.
Assist: Bokomboli A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with AS Maniema advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Maniema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Nairobi United haven't matched AS Maniema's recent run of results.
- AS Maniema are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- AS Maniema have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AS Maniema, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 68%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Maniema | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs Nairobi United
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs AS Maniema
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Maniema Compare
Top Goalscorer Namboka B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mboma Kinda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Nairobi United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Maniema 59 / 100
Nairobi United 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Maniema Nairobi United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Maniema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Maniema scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Nairobi United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: AS Maniema remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AS Maniema VS Nairobi United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Maniema
(Home) 20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1 Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2 AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1 Mazembe
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17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1 Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1 Mazembe
03 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 0 Don Bosco
25 May
AS Maniema
1 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
16 May
AS Maniema
0 : 1 AS Vita Club
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Nairobi United
(Away) 31 May
Mahia
0 : 1 Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1 Nairobi United
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
25 Apr
Mathare United
1 : 2 Nairobi United
19 Apr
Muranga
2 : 4 Nairobi United
12 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 2 Nairobi United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USM Alger | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Olympique de Safi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Djoliba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | San Pedro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wydad Athletic | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Maniema | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Azam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Otoho d'Oyo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Stellenbosch FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:9 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamalek | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Zesco | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
