Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Marsa vs Zarzis

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dao Y.
40'
Jebali O.
'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between AS Marsa and Zarzis finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Marsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
AS Marsa
15%
Draws
26%
Zarzis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Marsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Marsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Marsa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 68%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Marsa Zarzis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Zarzis
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs AS Marsa
0:2
Apr 20, 2019 Ligue 2
Zarzis vs AS Marsa
0:0
Dec 8, 2018 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs Zarzis
2:0
Apr 16, 2017 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Zarzis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dao Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zarzis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Marsa 41 / 100
Zarzis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Marsa Zarzis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Marsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarzis let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

AS Marsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Zarzis registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

AS Marsa found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

AS Marsa VS Zarzis
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Marsa

(Home)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

Zarzis

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)