Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma vs Fiorentina

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Roma host Fiorentina in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. AS Roma have averaged 2.13 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Fiorentina's 1.75 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor AS Roma slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back AS Roma to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AS Roma
40%
Draws
29%
Fiorentina
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Fiorentina have produced (1.75).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 19%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma Fiorentina
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Serie A
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
1:2
May 4, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
5:1
Mar 10, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma 32 / 100
Fiorentina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma Fiorentina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AS Roma stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fiorentina conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma VS Fiorentina
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma

(Home)
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
24 May
Verona
0 : 2
AS Roma
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina

(Away)
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Gubbio
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1
Fiorentina U20
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
17 May
Juventus
0 : 2
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)