Sport Picks
AS Roma vs Midtjylland
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome 
Match Events
7'
7'
El Aynaoui N.
Assist: Celik Z.
27'
27'
Sub
Kone M. In: Cristante B.
Out: Kone M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gogorza M. In: Osorio D.
Out: Gogorza M.
AI Match Summary
AS Roma in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Midtjylland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Midtjylland have won more games recently than AS Roma.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 16%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Roma | Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 27, 2025 Europa League
AS Roma vs Midtjylland
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Roma Compare
Top Goalscorer El Aynaoui N.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Shaarawy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Midtjylland Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva P. V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Roma 57 / 100
Midtjylland 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Roma Midtjylland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Roma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AS Roma scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Midtjylland has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
AS Roma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AS Roma VS Midtjylland
2 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Roma
(Home) 05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4 AS Roma
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2 AS Roma
08 Aug
Brighton
3 : 0 AS Roma
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0 Lazio
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
18 Apr
AS Roma
1 : 1 Atalanta
Page 1 of 3
Midtjylland
(Away) 02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
30 Aug
Silkeborg
1 : 1 Midtjylland
27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4 Midtjylland
23 Aug
Midtjylland
1 : 0 Randers FC
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0 Rijeka
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
30 Aug
Silkeborg
1 : 1 Midtjylland
27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4 Midtjylland
16 Aug
Lyngby
1 : 1 Midtjylland
06 Aug
Bohemians
0 : 2 Midtjylland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
