Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs CSA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
2 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rian Santana
60' Event
de Melo M. A.
72' Event
Rian Santana

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with CSA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
ASA
33%
Draws
40%
CSA
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CSA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CSA are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • CSA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSA, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
ASA Clean Sheet 17%
CSA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA CSA
Matches Played 48 43
Wins 24 25
Draws 16 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie D
CSA vs ASA
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D
ASA vs CSA
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs CSA
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs CSA
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Alagoano
CSA vs ASA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Bruno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keliton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Rian Santana
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Melo M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 28 / 100
CSA 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA CSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ASA scored in 73% of their last 48 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

CSA has conceded goals in 47% of their last 43 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS CSA
1 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1
Sergipe
14 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 1
ASA
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CSA

(Away)
13 Jul
CSA
4 : 0
Betim FC
04 Jul
Betim FC
1 : 0
CSA
27 Jun
CSA
2 : 0
Lagarto
21 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 1
CSA
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
ASA3
CRB0
CSA5
Clube Sociedade Esportiva0
Final
ASA2
CSA3