Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sousa Felicio A.
7' Event
Alex Bruno
14'
Sub
Sousa Felicio A. In: Filipe Ramon
Out: Sousa Felicio A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ASA
30%
Draws
23%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASA come out ahead of Murici on wins alone.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Murici
Matches Played 41 31
Wins 20 11
Draws 15 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs ASA
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs ASA
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Murici
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Bruno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higor Leite
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Murici Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 51 / 100
Murici 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

ASA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Murici lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Murici conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 9

Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
ASA 3
Murici 0
CSA 0
CRB 4
Final
ASA 1
CRB 4