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Aschaffenburg vs Nurnberg II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Kusanovic T.
90'
Navrotskyi M.
90'
Navrotskyi M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Aschaffenburg and Nurnberg II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Aschaffenburg
15%
Draws
53%
Nurnberg II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nurnberg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nurnberg II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nurnberg II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 14%
Nurnberg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg Nurnberg II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Nurnberg II
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Aschaffenburg
5:2
Nov 23, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Aschaffenburg
3:3
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Nurnberg II
3:1
Mar 17, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Aschaffenburg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aschaffenburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nurnberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusanovic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 19 / 100
Nurnberg II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg Nurnberg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurnberg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aschaffenburg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Nurnberg II has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Aschaffenburg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS Nurnberg II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
09 Sept
Grossbardorf
3 : 1
Aschaffenburg
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
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Nurnberg II

(Away)
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
05 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 2
1. FC Schweinfurt
21 Aug
Nurnberg II
3 : 1
Burghausen
14 Aug
Eltersdorf
1 : 1
Nurnberg II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)